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21st century challenges

We’ve so far in the course focused on the challenges that climate change poses, but what is the nature of these challenges? This article argues that climate change is a complex, sometimes hyper-complex, challenge that in its nature is different from other challenges the world faced during the centuries leading up to the present - a 21st century challenge.

First we need to properly understand the kind of problem we are dealing with. As you may realise from daily life some problems require different solutions than others. For example, solving a puzzle requires a different approach than taking care of someone that has a stroke. In the first case there are many different ways of getting to the ‘right’ solution, in the second there really is only one way - getting the person to the closest hospital as fast as possible.

The question we need to ask in regards to climate change is why haven’t we solved it yet given that we’ve known about the problem for decades? One suggestion by Grint (2008) is that climate change has initially been tried to be solved like a puzzle with a single-line solution. [1] For climate change this was represented through the attempt of communicating scientific knowledge through various reports, such as the ones published by the IPCC. Since climate change is a much more complicated and complex problem than a puzzle though this solution hasn’t been as successful as desired.

To improve this taking into account other characteristics of the problem is helpful. For example, climate change is intractable, complex, associated with a high uncertainty due to its uniqueness, it has no clear solutions and implemented solutions might still lead to more problems due to an unclear relationship between cause and effect. [2] (Grint, 2008)

The classification often used for 21st problems is that they are either tame (with a one-way solution, like puzzles), critical (requiring an immediate response, like a stroke) or wicked.

Wicked problems were initially described in terms of social policy planning by Rittel and Webber (1973) [3] and expanded into super wicked problems by Levin et al. (2012) [4] with four additional criteria:

  • Time is running out
  • Those seeking to end the problem are also causing it
  • The central authority needed to address them is weak or non-existent
  • Irrational discounting occurs that pushes responses into the future

It’s clear to see how those criteria in particular relate to climate change.

Scharmer [5] has a similar way of describing the complexity of climate change by looking at three particular categories:

  • Dynamic complexity: cause and effect are distant in time and space and sufficiently comprehending the problem from first-hand experience is hard
  • Social complexity: there are conflicting worldviews, cultures and interests among the key stakeholders
  • Emergent complexity: evolution of the problem in unpredictable and unfamiliar ways

This article makes the case that the problem of climate change is in its scale and complexity a problem that humanity has not faced before throughout its history - which means that we can’t use the same ways of problem-solving that we have used in the past. Instead we need new ways of thinking, creating and acting in the face of climate change. And also some humility and the acceptance that there is no one-fix solution to the problem, but rather a diverse and mixed set of approaches.

Reflection

Do you agree with the two arguments above that climate change is a new type of problem not faced before and that the problem is complex both in its nature (how it has been created) and how it can solved?

References

  1. Grint, K. (2008). Wicked Problems and Clumsy Solutions: the Role of Leadership. In: Clinical Leader, Volume I Number II, BAMM Publications, UK., p. 12-13
  2. Grint, K. (2008). Wicked Problems and Clumsy Solutions: the Role of Leadership. In: Clinical Leader, Volume I Number II, BAMM Publications, UK., p. 12
  3. Rittel, H. W. J. & Webber, M. M. (1973). Dilemmas in a General Theory of Planning. Policy Sciences 4, pp. 155-169.
  4. Levin, K., Cashore, B., Bernstein, S., Auld, G. (2012). Overcoming the tragedy of super wicked problems: constraining our future selves to ameliorate global climate change. Policy Sciences 45:2, pp. 123-152.
  5. Scharmer, C. O. (2009). Theory U: Leading from the future as it emerges – The social technology of presencing. San Francisco, CA: Berrett-Koehler Publishers, pp. 242-243.

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This article is from the free online course:

Climate Change Leadership

Uppsala University