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Skip to 0 minutes and 5 secondsIt's a real pleasure for me to have with me today, William Bond. William Bond is an emeritus professor at the University of Cape Town and he's also a scientist at SAEON which a long-term ecological research centre. So, William, talking about changes in vegetation over time, you know, as a paleontologist, I've always been intrigued by the these big changes that have happened after major extinction events. But grasses really take off much later. Do you have any idea what spurred the spread of grasses, grasslands much later?

Skip to 0 minutes and 41 seconds- Well, I think it's one of the most intriguing earth history mysteries but it's actually both the spread of flowering plants which is not, the reasons are not obvious, and then the second great angiosperm revolution. Well, there was another one as well, which is the spread of forests. The forests are also intriguing. And then these grasses, the most unlikely improbable growth form, a little plant. herbaceous plant half a metre to a metre tall, that began to take over the world. So it was such an anomaly that, for many years, people thought, where you saw grasslands, especially the tropics, they were the consequence of human deforestation. People chopping trees down. And we know that that's now not true.

Skip to 1 minute and 30 secondsThey've been there for millions of years, although it's still a popular public belief that these grasses are secondary. They're not. They're ancient. So the big mystery is why did they take off? They were lurking around on the landscape. They were sitting, we think, in little edaphic soil ghettos, where forest trees couldn't grow and shade them out. And they hung in there by the fingernails until around eight million years ago, something changed and they just took off. And today they cover about a a fifth of the world. So a remarkable change in global vegetation. - So what could that something be?

Skip to 2 minutes and 11 seconds- Well, I think the important thing to say is that it's not climate because huge areas of grasslands and savannas have forests within that you can find on a hill, there's a forest and right next door, a savanna. So they're occurring under the same climate. And vast areas of savannas could be completely different. There could be forest. So this is unusual because, for many years, biogeographers have assumed that the major vegetation of the world is controlled by climate. Savannas, no. You need something to drive the forest back. And the first really coherent idea was, it was a drop in CO2, atmospheric CO2. And that this favoured a new form of grass, we call them C4 grasses.

Skip to 3 minutes and 2 secondsAnd their unique invention was to concentrate carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, so that, from the photosynthetic machinery's point of view, they were always operating at high CO2. And this brought a whole lot of advantages, and disadvantages. It meant that the photosynthetic enzymes, which is the nitrogen that animals require, could be produced in much lower quantities. So from the animals' point of view you had a lot of carbon and hardly any protein and that reduced the quality. From fire perspective, this is the most wonderful fuel because the animals don't remove it, it's inedible and it's perfect fuel.

Skip to 3 minutes and 47 secondsSo what we think is that, in large areas of the world, fires began to burn much more prominently and helped to promote the spread of savannas, rolling back forest trees. And the trouble with low CO2 is that trees are intrinsically carbon-demanding, they have carbon-rich skeletons. So to build a tree you need a lot of CO2. And when CO2 plummeted... Our work, we did experimental studies on trees and their response to CO2. They are hopeless at dealing with low CO2, they can't handle drought, they can't handle browsing, they can't handle fire. So the low CO2 provided the context, the necessary environment to weaken trees.

Skip to 4 minutes and 38 secondsBut you needed that extra, something extra, to knock back the trees and WE think that was fire, and possibly herbivores. - Uh-huh, and that brings me to your latest publication showing that, in the African savanna, it was actually a big role that bovids played in bringing grasslands to to Africa and kind of cutting back on the forest. So that was very interesting. - Yeah, I'm very pleased with that paper. - Well, you should be. - We struggle to put the animals into the picture. You don't get satellite maps of mammals. And what were dinosaurs up to in the Cretaceous? Clunking around and smashing trees, just walking down for a drink, they must have been smashing trees over.

Skip to 5 minutes and 28 secondsNow, how does one reconstruct that? So we did an analysis of plants that are restricted, trees that are restricted to fire-dependent savannas. To try and date the origin of savannas through dating the trees that grow within them. These were high-rainfall, fire-dependent savannas. But we knew that fire doesn't burn everywhere and that drier areas of Africa are still savannas but fires are much less common. And these are the centres of mammal abundance and diversity, the Serengeti Kruger National Park, and so on. So we tried to find an indicator of mammal dominated savannas, and the big indicator, if you know anything about Africa, are prickly plants. If you walk around our big mammal reserves, they're full of prickly plants. - Exactly.

Skip to 6 minutes and 21 seconds- So we took a sample of 2000 tree species from Africa, worked out how many were prickly, and we were able to reconstruct, for each tree, we could look at the environmental context, and where they grew, and see whether spiny plants are indeed markers of savannas, also markers of high animal density.That as heroic effort, but nowadays people could do these things much more quickly. And we were helped by a wonderful piece of work by Gareth Hempson where he reconstructed the mammal diversity and abundance in Africa as it would have been a thousand years ago. Looking at data from game parks and national parks.

Skip to 7 minutes and 6 secondsAnd created a surface of mammal abundance and diversity, so we could then link where are the prickly plants and which mammals are feeding on them. - Yes. - And that pointed clearly to the bovids and it pointed clearly to mixed feeders of medium-sized, social mixed feeders, like gazelles and impala and also large browsers, things like kudu. So, the sort of the goats and the deer of other parts of the world. So, now we knew that prickly plants were associated with grass, savannas, drier savannas on fertile soils. These were the epicentres of mammal abundance in Africa.

Skip to 7 minutes and 50 secondsAnd we knew which mammals, so now we went back in time using molecular phylogenies and, to our astonishment, we found that spiny plants were not an ancient feature of Africa. They were actually new, new in a geological sense, that, for tens of millions of years, Africa was full of proboscideans, elephants and their relatives, and hyracoids. Of which there are only a handful of little creatures left. But they were much bigger, they were the size of small rhinos in the past. With those browsers around, Africa had no spiny plants. And then spiny plants just, bam, act of creation and they just appeared in Africa and took off around 15, 16 million years ago according to our molecules.

Skip to 8 minutes and 44 secondsSo then we looked at which animal groups, if any, coincided with the appearance of those spiny plants. And there were the bovids. Using the same approach with the bovids, there was this absolutely remarkable eruption of spiny plants and simultaneous eruption of bovids. Where did the bovids come from? Well, Africa had collided with Eurasia and, when the two continents met each other, the... began to get an exchange of Eurasian animals into Africa, and the elephants of Africa spread to the rest of the world, mammoths and mastodons and so on. But the legacy of those mammals, we argue, is intense. When the bovids arrive, there was intense herbivory on the seedlings and saplings of forest trees.

Skip to 9 minutes and 36 secondsAnd this helped to open up the forest, providing opportunities for the grasses... - Grasses to take over, wow, that's fantastic. Quite a wonderful story. - It's an extraordinary thing and, of course, now we would like to know what is happening in other parts of the world. There were similar prickly forms of savanna in South America, in North America, in Asia. But they had older, or even younger, browsers so we can test the argument by looking at the world, you know. - Exactly, looking at their fossil record and looking at the evolution of the mammalian fauna as well. - That's right. - That sounds fantastic. And we'll almost certainly be proved not completely right. But... - Well, this is it.

Skip to 10 minutes and 22 secondsI think that’s the nature of science. We have a good hypothesis and we try to find evidence to support it and if it doesn't, well then we find another hypothesis. - Absolutely. - So, William, given the high carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere currently, what do you think are the implications for the future? Well, I like to walk around with a big placard saying, the end of savannas, the end of the world. I think we are really threatened with major loss of one of the world's great biomes, which contains, and it's not only high CO2, it's a loss of the mammals that help to maintain these things as open. And it's suppression of fires, through roads, and buildings, and legislation.

Skip to 11 minutes and 10 secondsI think savannas have their backs to the wall, actually. And that's where the models are projecting, it's the future of Africa and African savannas looks pretty bleak. - Really. - With all kinds of repercussions that we need to think about. - So, William, thank you so much for coming and sharing your research ideas with us. And we look forward to hearing more from from your research group. Thank you. - No, it's a pleasure. I am an enthusiast, as you can see. And I reckon this is the most intriguing question that anyone could ask of earth history. Thanks.

The evolution of grasslands

Professor William Bond has a lifetime of research under his belt and I asked him to share some of his knowledge about grassland ecosystems - how they came to be so widespread and their special significance.

The success and extensiveness of grasslands (one fifth of all vegetation) is an ecological mystery. William Bond explores factors such as changes in atmospheric CO2, the role of herbivores and fires in spreading grasslands.

If you want to explore this topic further, you can look at the links provided below.

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This video is from the free online course:

Extinctions: Past and Present

University of Cape Town