Skip to 0 minutes and 0 seconds In learning unit 2 we’re going to dig deeper to what scenarios are and how to use them. At this stage, just a very quick description, definition of a scenario. And there are many. But one that I find useful is to say that a scenario is a hypothetical sequence of events constructed for the purpose of focusing our attention on causal processes and decision plates. To put it slightly more simply, a scenario is a picture of the future. Not a prediction, a picture of the future. We have a number of scenarios that implies we have a number of pictures of the future. And these pictures, these images, are not chosen randomly.
Skip to 0 minutes and 44 seconds They are developed according to a very scientific process, where we combine various forecasting techniques, other methodologies, to tease out of the data, of the trends, a number of these possible pictures of the future.
Scenarios are used as tools by futurists all the time, lets take a look how.