Helen Paul

Helen Paul

I am an economic historian based at the University of Southampton. My initial research interest was the South Sea Bubble, a financial market crash in 1720.

Location Southampton, UK

Activity

  • I didn't know anything about it until fairly recently. I can't remember anyone mentioning it in my childhood.

  • Thanks!

  • That's very interesting. In Amsterdam, it would be the 'wind trade' not bubbles.

  • That's very true!

  • That is interesting.

  • Thanks Dawn. Ann Petty would not have got a 'fair trial' in the modern sense. Most trials lasted half an hour or so. Juries heard several trials before considering their verdicts. Not a great state of affairs. More info here: https://www.oldbaileyonline.org/static/Trial-procedures.jsp
    This might explain some of the oddities in the trial accounts.

  • Some tribal groups do. For instance, using cattle as wealth. In terms of an official national currency, i can't think of one.

  • I really enjoyed reading Glyn Davies' History of Money

  • Thanks very much indeed. The street charity issue is important and so are bank branches for the vulnerable.

  • Thanks for the link

  • Thanks Amelia and thanks for the picture as well.

  • Very true.

  • That's an interesting thought. It probably started as 'book money', i.e. a record of debts owed.

  • Thanks Edith. It's good to be reminded of this sometimes.

  • That makes the ownership of media outlets (newspapers etc.) all the more interesting.

  • Thanks, Jean.

  • You can ask them.

  • Thanks, Nadine. I'm glad that you found something new.

  • Thanks, Gus.

  • Thanks, David. Good luck with the A levels (or whatever they are replaced with).

  • Thanks, Gus, especially for the quote.

  • Thanks for the link.

  • Thanks, John. It is amazing to think about.
    Quis custodiet ipsos custodes

  • Thanks, Cynthia.

  • Thanks, Steven.

  • Thanks, John.

  • Thanks, Nadine.

  • That is an interesting comparison. Both campaigns hinge around the vulnerability of women and children.

  • Thanks, Cynthia.

  • Thanks, John. It's also clear that people like Defoe were paid to comment. They therefore had to say something, even if they didn't really understand the full details.

  • Thanks, Mary. I went up to Studley to meet the National Trust guides. They said they dreaded having to explain the Bubble.

  • Thanks. There is a good book by John Carswell on the topic.

  • Thanks, Keegan, for the link.

  • @AndrewD By everything is done online and automated, do you mean crypocurrencies or peer-to-peer lending? Banks as financial intermediaries clearly do much of their business online.
    Plus, we tend to notice regulation when it fails. We don't notice it when it succeeds. Various crises have been made worse by governments weakening regulators or by using the...

  • Thanks, John.

  • Thanks Muhammad. It all depends very much on how we define the words to start with.

  • That's an interesting point. We rely on the figures being accurate, but often they might not be.

  • Thanks, Andrew.

    Regarding Hitler, this might be of interest:
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2004/sep/25/usa.secondworldwar

    He also got funding from big US corporations, like Ford.

    Plus, using slave labour and also stealing resources from the victims of the Nazis.

  • Thanks. You are right that bonds are less risky than shares in the same company as bondholders get paid first.

  • Thanks, Janet. It's very difficult to disentangle yourself from the stock market completely. It's interesting that more and more institutions are looking at 'ethical investments'. Here's the Church of England list of things they are not supposed to invest in:
    https://www.churchofengland.org/eiag/policies

  • Thanks, Sam.

  • Thanks, Rhys, for the link

  • Thanks, Niamh.

  • Because a socially constructed value is still value. Socially constructed ideas, like marriage, can be very powerful and durable. The entire legal system is socially constructed. As are all forms of money which don't actually have a use value in extreme situations. By extreme situations, I mean some sort of dystopian famine type situation. Food, shelter, tools...

  • Thanks, Rhys. There are limits. See comment above.

  • Thanks, Ivan. There are limits on how much a bank can lend against its reserves. The Prudential Regulation Authority is the body which does this in the UK.
    https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/knowledgebank/what-is-the-prudential-regulation-authority-pra

  • Thanks, Sarah. It's interesting that those people who provided credit were often vilified. Yet, Henry V would never have got to Agincourt without them. No mention at all of them in Shakespeare.

  • Thanks Michael. What a story.

  • You are welcome. Hope it's useful.

  • The borrower pays back the original (the principal) plus the interest. The actual 'creation of money' bit comes with the original loan being made. The bank holds assets (reserves) and can then issue loans in excess of the assets. It creates the money which is then the principal owed by the borrower. If that makes sense.

  • That's interesting. Maybe one benefit to these machines is that they keep folk off railway lines!

  • There are some advantages to keeping it open-ended. If India, say, paid off the national debt completely, it would create a massive contracting in government spending on other things. There's no reason for India to create an artificial shock like that.

  • @MaryS
    Financial institutions are looking for people with a range of skills including advanced quantitative skills.
    https://www.brightnetwork.co.uk/career-path-guides/investment-banking/how-to-with-gwyn-day/getting-investment-banking-engineering-degree/

  • There is always an opportunity cost for banks. If they lend to you, then can't lend to customer X. They are still choosing between investment projects with different rates of return.
    Banks are restricted by the amount of money they can create. The government insists that they keep a certain amount of reserves to back their loans.
    Regulators control how...

  • Thanks, Jean. I hope it's been useful.

  • Thanks, Jean. It's amazing how popular a theory it was.

  • Thanks, Jean, for this summary. It's an example of allowing bonus culture to drive the economy.

  • I know my literary colleagues will agree!

  • Yes, it's something which has largely disappeared out of the official histories. You only really see big ports cities making the linkage clear (Bristol and Liverpool). London's place in the trade was important too.

  • That's frustrating. Hope it sorts itself out.

  • Thanks, Cynthia.

  • Thanks, Barbara.

  • Thanks, Cynthia.

  • Thanks, Juha.

  • I suppose ISAs are really a way to avoid tax as much as anything.

  • Thanks, Cynthia.

  • Thanks, Cynthia. Ultimately, understanding your own ability to tolerate risk is the first step to creating your own personal strategy.

  • Thanks, Juha.
    AI seems to be a good servant but a bad master. Like so much else.

  • Thanks, Juha. You are having to predict what other people's predictions might be.
    John Maynard Keynes' beauty contest idea might of interest.
    https://www.economicsnetwork.ac.uk/sites/default/files/Ashley/6%20References%20for%20KBC.pdf

  • There more about the 'Protestant work ethic' here. It was used as an explanation regarding the economic growth of particular countries. See whether you are convinced.

    https://www.britannica.com/topic/Protestant-ethic

    https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2010/sep/11/pain-gain-work-ethic-burkeman

  • Thanks, Sonia.

  • Thanks, Sam.
    Perhaps ordinary investors need a 'buy and hold' strategy.

  • Unless they count them in with shares in their definition of 'gambling'

  • Thanks, Sam.
    I suppose there are other things they could invest in, such as government bonds.

  • Thanks, Anugya.

  • Thanks, Nadine. In that regard, you are diversified away some of the risks anyway.

  • Thanks, Keegan. Yes, people sometimes struggle to remember that there is always a market risk.

  • Thanks, Ann

  • Thanks, Nick

  • Thanks, Aidan

  • Thanks, Keegan

  • Thanks, Anugya

  • Thanks, Nick.

  • Thanks, Sam.

  • Thanks!

  • Thanks, John.

  • Thanks, Aidan

  • Thanks!

  • Thanks, Keegan.

  • Thanks, Anugya!

  • Thanks, Sam and John.
    You can see the same stuff around the South Sea Bubble. Yet, most of the Jewish people resident in England at that time had nothing to do with finance. When something went wrong, there was a hunt for scapegoats.

  • By currency, do you mean fiat money? This has a value stamped by some authority (e.g. the government or the people who created the Bristol pound). In the case of governments, they can insiste that their currency is legal tender. It is backed by the government and its capacity to borrow against future tax revenues.

    In a society which had faced an...

  • No more value than gold has. Gold is only of use to most people because they 'think' it is precious. Modern scientific uses, e.g. medicine, aside. People used gold as jewellery or to decorate buildings. However, you can't eat gold or silver. If humans disappeared from the earth, animals would not be interested in gold. Gold's 'value' is socially constructed...

  • Apparently, some of Shakespeare's puns were about coins. Modern audience wouldn't get the 'jokes', but his contemporaries would. One coin was nicknamed an 'angel'. There is a drawing of one here:
    https://internetshakespeare.uvic.ca/Library/SLT/society/city%20life/money.html#punned

  • Thanks, Martin.
    Money itself can be created by governments. Do you mean that there will be fewer transactions? There is likely to be a redistribution of asset ownership. For instance, people holding London property might have to sell it at low prices. Anyone with sufficient wealth can come in as a carpet-bagger.

  • Thanks, Aidan. What do you mean by 'traditional currency' in this context?

  • Money is simply a medium of exchange, store of wealth and unit of account. Money includes, but is not restricted to, the amount of currency in circulation. Currency here meaning banknotes or coins.

    You are describing fractional reserve banking. This can continue indefinitely unless there is a very large shock to the system.