Skip main navigation

Make better life choices

Charles Duhigg, Pulizer prize-winning journalist, describes probabilistic thinking and how it can help you make better life choices.

After you watch the video, consider the following questions.

  • Why do you think probabilistic thinking (entertaining and evaluating multiple possible futures) is so difficult and unnatural for many people?
  • Consider an important decision you (or someone you know) need to make in the near future. Describe it briefly. Outline some of the possible choices you could make and their possible outcomes.
  • As you begin to think about the complex problem you have chosen to tackle, what case studies could you gather to inform your thinking process?

To get a fairly accurate idea of the probability of each outcome above, where could you look for relevant case studies of failure and success? Who could you talk to? What are some likely sources and approaches?

This article is from the free online

Critical and Strategic Thinking in Practice

Created by
FutureLearn - Learning For Life

Our purpose is to transform access to education.

We offer a diverse selection of courses from leading universities and cultural institutions from around the world. These are delivered one step at a time, and are accessible on mobile, tablet and desktop, so you can fit learning around your life.

We believe learning should be an enjoyable, social experience, so our courses offer the opportunity to discuss what you’re learning with others as you go, helping you make fresh discoveries and form new ideas.
You can unlock new opportunities with unlimited access to hundreds of online short courses for a year by subscribing to our Unlimited package. Build your knowledge with top universities and organisations.

Learn more about how FutureLearn is transforming access to education