Want to keep learning?

This content is taken from the UNESCO UNITWIN Complex Systems Digital Campus & The Open University's online course, COVID-19: Pandemics, Modelling, and Policy. Join the course to learn more.

Simulating Vaccination

This video shows the Agent Based Model run with 50% of the agents vaccinated.

Without vaccination the epidemic spreads rapidly as illustrated in Figure 6.1(a) . There is a high peak with over half the agents infected.

After vaccination of 50% of the population the video of the simulation shows a much lower peak and many less agents being infected.

When the number of vaccinations is increased to 65% of the population the virus cannot get a hold, as illustrated in Figure 6.1(b)

Figure 6.1. (a) no vaccinations (6) (b) 65% vaccinations Two screenshots of runs of the ABM. On the left none of the agents is vaccinated and there is a large peak of infections.. On the left 65% are vaccinated and there is no peak

Addition 18th May 2020

A tracker, developed by the Vaccine Centre at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, follows COVID-19 vaccine candidates as they progress through the development pipeline. It is updated weekly. COVID-19 vaccine development pipeline With thanks to Robert Peek.

What do you think

Do you think this is a convincing demonstration that vaccination works? Do you think vaccinating 65% of the population is a good policy?

Reference

[1] London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, “COVID-19 vaccine development pipeline”, Viewed 18 May 2020.

https://vac-lshtm.shinyapps.io/ncov_vaccine_landscape/

Share this video:

This video is from the free online course:

COVID-19: Pandemics, Modelling, and Policy

UNESCO UNITWIN Complex Systems Digital Campus