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The complexity of virus contagion

The following blog post reflects on the complex dynamics of virus contagion, and what simulation models contribute to better understand such dynamics.
Screenshot of a virus outbreak tracking website

Social simulation models can be used to demonstrate how certain processes grow. Especially when we deal with non-linear or exponential growth processes, simulation models may give a clear indication of how such processes may develop.

A clear example is the spreading of a virus, and the impact of policies, such as social distancing, have on the spread of a virus. Observing how this operates, using e.g. videos of simulation models, may support the communication of scientific insights, as in the following blog of Wander Jager on the contagion dynamics of COVID-19.

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